Considering investing in OSOW

Discussion in 'Heavy Haul Trucking Forum' started by chadwick404, Sep 12, 2019.

  1. soloflyr

    soloflyr Medium Load Member

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    If your friend has no skin in the game, other than just his next paycheck, then he doesn’t stand to lose any skin if he decides to walk away. Another paycheck is easy to come by & so are used to be friends.

    All the red flags are there, he doesn’t have anything to show for past efforts, doesn’t have any credit, etcetera. So what exactly does he stand to lose, that would make him less likely to walk away, leaving you to hold an empty bag?
     
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  3. chadwick404

    chadwick404 Bobtail Member

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    Can you share any source for when distressed or otherwise HH small business are advertised for sale?




    Have you thought of just getting one truck and running that for a year to get an idea?
     
  4. chadwick404

    chadwick404 Bobtail Member

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    Excellent question, and definitely a primary concern. My thoughts are a structured equity award over a period of years, pegging a value at the end of every year tied to net asset value. As the business pays off debt and becomes a money positive asset, along with depreciation and wear/tear accounted for, he'd know exactly what he'd walk away from for value. I'd keep all assets in my name, have my own authority, and have a contract between us.

    If he's smart, and we do "average" success, then he'd have a nice nest egg, or at least much more than he'd have otherwise.

    That is my ideas for now, anyways.


     
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  5. LoneCowboy

    LoneCowboy Road Train Member

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    You know what this post reminds me of?

    2007 when everyone and their mother decided that NOW was the time to quit their job and start flipping houses because it was easy money and anyone, even those with no experience could make a ton of money.
     
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  6. chadwick404

    chadwick404 Bobtail Member

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    I dont see how. Everyone thus far has discouraged it, I've never alluded to it being easy money just viable, and frankly I'm out of work anyways with just a window of opportunity to do something different and in this case I do know a bit about trucks, various trailers, freight, et.al....just very little about heavy haul relatively speaking. What I've seen thus far appears to offer challenges that I would not have with many other types of hauling or business in general, challenging risks and interesting opportunities. Are you saying there is only one pathway to make a HH business owner?

    This isn't flipping houses in a market frenzy trusting the crowd wisdom, after everyone and their mother actually did make a bit. I'm not deluded. I doubt if I can even get the financing arranged the way I desire so it might all be a moot point. I'm not risking my home and retirement, for example.

    I do know no one has offered any real sets of numbers to consider, and very little but the obvious thus far. Maybe the business is actually simple in many ways, and merely more risky and capital intensive than others. Perhaps it leads to no one wanting the competition...if I were to speculate.

    Well, I have a set of steps I wanted to walk through. Asking for this forum's advice was one step. Guess the box is checked.


     
  7. Oxbow

    Oxbow Road Train Member

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    If you're not going to like the answer don't ask the question.

    The replies provided have been honest and have expressed concerns for you in your situation. Not wanting the competition is perhaps missing the point. Not wanting another person who is over their head and cutting rates to try to survive may be a better description.

    Good luck to you whichever way you go.
     
  8. REO6205

    REO6205 Trucker Forum STAFF Staff Member

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    Well said.
     
  9. chadwick404

    chadwick404 Bobtail Member

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    Fair enough...I completely understand and agree with your thoughts. I've heard a lot about undercutting of rates while on the road this year. I'm not answer shopping - the "reminds me of flipping" post was a bit irrelevant and I asked the poster to explain how it isn't.

    would you care to help me understand what i may face in the way of initial start-up and operating costs, reserves I should have on hand for the initial six months or so, and average revenue targets I could expect, all based on various assumptions of course?

    I'm trying to understand from the forum members what cash flow and the like I need to be prepared for. I know it is highly dependent on the initial debt, trailer capabilities, reliability of the equipment, procuring profitable loads, invoicing time frames so no one can give me "my" expectations....

    But I'd love to hear what your (anyone's) own personal experiences were when you first bought into the HH business. Those stories would give a lot of food for thought I would think...



     
  10. REO6205

    REO6205 Trucker Forum STAFF Staff Member

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    That's a great post. Wanting to know your costs before starting out is key. Unfortunately it's almost an unanswerable question in your case.
    You're looking for absolute answers to questions that only serve to show your inexperience. I don't think it's fair of you to demand and expect established HH people to do your homework for you.
    My question is...Do you have any kind of customer base yet? Being new in the HH game the only people that might use you at first will be the customers that nobody else will haul for. Your income will be so unpredictable that it'll drive you nuts.
    Our company has been in HH for over thirty years but we still struggle at times with workload and with truck availability. Most of our work is on demand for a group of customers that we've spent years developing. We cater to a group of farmers, loggers, and construction people that we know will pay their bills and have a realistic attitude toward what we can and cannot do for them.
    There are times when we have so much work that we'll either put the trucks on shifts and haul the little stuff at night or we'll call in some of our competitors and share a few loads with them. The customers don't care as long as the right machine gets to the right place undamaged and ready to work.
    There are also times when there is no work at all. Those big HH rigs are a major PITA when they're sitting in the yard with nothing to do.
    You need to define to yourself exactly what kind of HH you want to do before you can even begin to start figuring costs. We don't do the huge super-load long distance work that some guys do. We serve a local and regional niche market and we've found that works the best for us.
    We know right to the penny what it costs to run our trucks but even then we occasionally get surprised by unexpected costs...blown tires, excess time to load or unload, last minute dispatch changes from the customer, road closure, re-routing on permits... mostly little things that taken one at a time don't hurt us much but added together can be a surprisingly high amount of money. Some of it we can charge the customer for but a lot of it we have to eat.
    I'm not trying to rain on your parade but you're trying to gain entry into what is probably the most unforgiving segment of trucking as far as profits go. One bad load, one non-paying customer, one careless driver that tears up your or the customer's equipment, one DOT violation leading to huge fines and even the revocation of your base permit to engage in HH, and you can find yourself in a hole you'll never get out of.
    What our little company does is just a tiny corner of the HH world but what I've said here probably applies somewhat to the whole industry. I've seen a lot of guys try and fail at HH. They usually failed because they didn't think things through, got in over their heads, and made bad choices or decisions. You don't have to be one of those people.
    There are other things to do with a truck besides HH.


    EDIT...to give credit where credit is due, you've had a huge amount of good advice from guys with actual real-world experience. Listen to them. They know.
     
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  11. Oxbow

    Oxbow Road Train Member

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    Very good perspective!

    I am not in the heavy haul (for hire) business. We have a couple of good outfits here locally that I would and do use on occasion, but we decided to haul our own equipment for three reasons.
    (1) The cost of waiting to fit into their schedule, even if it is only a day or two, adds up very quickly when we have equipment sitting and waiting.
    (2) The cost to hire someone to drive 100 miles or more, haul our equipment 5 miles or less to the next job, and then return empty adds up quickly.
    (3) I've been trucking on and off since 1980, and still enjoy it.

    We also know to the penny/mile what it costs us to run our truck, and we cannot run for the rates that an outfit like yours will charge with the small amount of miles that we run. We keep our own lowboy for the convenience.

    @chadwick404 , sharing numbers in this game really won't do you much good as your costs will vary too greatly from everyone else. The cost to haul OSOW increases exponentially as the size and weight increase. At a point the revenue you must receive to be profitable is less influenced by the truck operating cost, and more related to items such as route surveys, pilot cars, police escorts, utility company boom trucks, etc. Plus, you must factor in time awaiting permit approval. Your truck must recoup x number of dollars a day whether you are hauling or not. Then take into account having to have liability insurance to cover a million, or multiples of a million dollar cargo value.

    As I recall, you mentioned jumping in at the 13 axle level. That's big boy stuff right there, and the likelihood of finding enough customers to trust that type of freight to a newcomer would seem remote at best to me. If you were talking 8 axle or less it would not be nearly as difficult to estimate operating costs, but cost per mile is still tied into the number of miles run. Variable costs combined with fixed costs change dramatically with the number of miles run. In the 13 axle game, even with a good list of customers, you are likely to sit for a month or two between loads. And looking at what I would guess as a minimum of about a $500,000 investment in an appropriate tractor and trailer you are going to need a large nest egg to keep yourself and another person alive during the slow times.

    Having said all that, and coming from an excavating contractor and not a heavy haul outfit, none of this means that you cannot succeed, but were it me and I had $100,000 to invest (20% down) and another 100k for start up, I would want to know that I could live without income from this venture for at least a year in order to get the business up and running.

    Maybe others with more experience will disagree, or add to the conversation, but again I believe that everyone has given sound advice.
     
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