Hurricane Irma

The models are having problems with this one too. The curve up the eastern seaboard that has been projected the last few days is dwindling to a near bee-line into the gulf passing between Cuba and southern Florida, but the distant models still showing it should curve northward up through central Florida.

Now taking early bets on US mainland landfall

HURRICANE IRMA

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I'm forecasting a Florida Keys skim, and a Mobile landfall at Cat 3.

 

929 mb and 175 mph sustained winds as of Tuesday morning.

 

Tuesday evening - 916 mb, 185 mph sustained winds. At <882 mb, we have a new record (Wilma 2005) but if it scrubs enough land, it will probably lose some of it's momentum and energy before it could break the record.

 

Every model run keeps showing a further delayed turning force. Thing may screw around and move past the southern tip of Florida and into the gulf slightly, before banking north.

Would be sweet karma for it to b!tch-slap Jacksonville where that professor is who tweeted Houston and Texas deserved the Harvey destruction.