Rates are crashing and fuel to the moon!

Discussion in 'Ask An Owner Operator' started by Kenworth6969, Mar 3, 2022.

  1. Rideandrepair

    Rideandrepair Road Train Member

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    Not really, he will learn quickly, or be gone quickly.
     
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  3. Big Road Skateboard

    Big Road Skateboard Road Train Member

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    Yeah, a bit ridiculous. I call shipper and receiver as soon as i get a rate con, IDGAF what the broker says. If they can't provide #'s for both, they're wasting my time.

    99% of the time you're gonna find a problem before it finds you. Good shippers, receivers, and brokers aprreciate it.
     
  4. Kenworth6969

    Kenworth6969 Road Train Member

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    Industry wide capacity did change, I saw it first hand when covid went down.

    At the time I was a trainer with a carrier.
    I was a trainer for a while prior to covid going down and it became all out armageddon at my carrier and I'm sure many other carriers that had training programs.

    First you had trainers unwilling to train anybody anymore because they didn't want to share a truck with stranger after stranger during a pandemic.

    Then students stopped coming in for multiple reasons, again nobody want to share a truck with someone during a pandemic.
    Then the training schools started shutting down.
    Then DMV's started shutting down.

    This went on for a while.
    Soooo all the countless new drivers that come into trucking fell off a cliff for a while.
    Then you had many drivers, some I've spoken to first hand were quitting because they didn't want to risk bring covid home to their family.
    Then you had the government handing out money to everybody so easily that people including truck drivers didn't want to come back to work.

    There were drivers leaving and the inflow of drivers coming in was near non existent for a while.

    So once demand picked up again the amount of available drivers was not the same as prior to covid and rates shot up.

    Some here bring up contract freight a lot as some safety net.
    It might be short term but if the economy goes downhill or some BS like covid happens for a while you will end up screwed like everybody else.
    Those contracts don't mean much if there's a pandemic and/or the economy tanks. If people stop buying then there's less loads.

    Plus that contract rate protection is only temporary, once that contract is up and the market has changed those shippers will demand cheaper trucks just like in the spot market.
     
  5. ProfessionalNoticer

    ProfessionalNoticer Road Train Member

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    I've avoided very costly mistakes many times by doing this. So many times I've been hired to move something that was actually a permit load when I didn't agree to moving a permit load.

    The last one was a piece of machinery that was too high. Customer told me the dimensions and that they wanted a step deck. The dimensions were indeed better suited for a step. On a flat, it would have been over 13.5 high.

    I never even called the broker to cancel. I'm sure they figured it out eventually.
     
  6. Long FLD

    Long FLD Road Train Member

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    Good points. It’s all a wave, just depends on what side of it you want to be on. In January of 2019 when I bought a truck again this site was similar to what it is now, doom and gloom, don’t buy a truck. But I got screwed over in Hawaii and needed to buy myself a job. Got my foot in the door doing something specialized and we never slowed down at all at the start of Covid. The rates were pretty decent but we got passed up once the spot market started taking off.

    Then with the HOS exemptions I saw an opportunity to use that to my advantage hauling feed. I’d say my rates were similar but a little bit below what was going on on the spot market. I met the financial goals I had when I bought a hopper to run exempt and was tired of 1000 mile days so about a year ago I sold the trailer.

    That’s when I signed on here. And now I’m doing better than the spot market again. I didn’t have the tall crest of the wave like the spot market, but I didn’t have the big break of the wave either. Honestly, last year it kinda sucked reading on here what people were running for because I knew what I was running for. Especially when I signed on here and had to read about what others were doing with a dry van in that market. But it’s a year later and I’m still doing the same things hauling for the same customers for the same rate. How long will it last? Who knows. But I’m also not one to sit around waiting to get kicked in the teeth. I already have a PTO and Thermoflow pump sitting in my garage in case things go really south here, or I left the pneumatic company on good terms with an open door to go back.
     
  7. MSQUARED

    MSQUARED Medium Load Member

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    One of the biggest problems now is the recievers or people who would deal with the freight that you woild build that relationship don't have a say anymore of who they can get for moving the freight.it's the ean counters and suits upstairs who find out you can always get it down cheaper amd they don't care tye guy who is gonna do it cheaper Is an ####### or could be a day late he is making my profit margin bigger and that's all that matters.

    People want to to talk about inflation being a problem, it's corporate greed that's the problem. Despite the inflation numbers businesses are setting record profits.

    So how is it mathematically possible for inflation to rise the way it has, people lotterally buying less because they can't afford it and or having to chose between food on table or say a cell phone bill amd yet every were record profits being reported.

    That is of course unless your a trucking business well then your a major break down from bankruptcy
     
  8. ProfessionalNoticer

    ProfessionalNoticer Road Train Member

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    Personally, I think the average for the year is what matters. The market is cyclical. No matter what you pull or how you move it there will always be ups/downs. Spot versus contract says it all. Either one can lead the same number at the end of the year.
     
  9. autopaint

    autopaint Light Load Member

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    Never happen.

    It took 13 years of QE and repressed interest rates to get us to the beginning of what's about to happen. There is no way this unwinds in less than a few years.

    This isn't a garden variety recession we have entered.
     
    77fib77 and Rideandrepair Thank this.
  10. God prefers Diesels

    God prefers Diesels Road Train Member

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    I didn't even know what a lane was when I started. And as I type this, look what rolled up. I bet this guy doesn't haul cheap freight.

    Edit: okay, they've got 4,600 trucks. But you get the idea.

    20220617_113914.jpg 20220617_113916.jpg 20220617_113933.jpg 20220617_114231.jpg
     
  11. Long FLD

    Long FLD Road Train Member

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    Also, I only know my experience and how it is for me. I don’t have the expense of being a motor carrier and maintaining authority or maintaining a trailer. In a down market that is a benefit to my bottom line. When the spot market is hot I do have moments of feeling dumb for sitting on the sideline, so to speak.

    For fun I looked back at one of our regular short hops. 7-19-21 it was $1375 plus 174.60 fsc. 5-3-22 it was $1375 plus 315.18 fsc. Maybe a better analogy in my other post would’ve been swimming versus surfing.
     
    D.Tibbitt, Dave_in_AZ, Siinman and 3 others Thank this.
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