So now that freight waves has officially announced the trucking super Cycle is here, and it's going to last 3-5 years minimum, what should I do?
Even Craig Fuller now says there's a driver shortage, a well respected individual who has consistently maintained driver shortage is a myth.
How does someone with a year or two of experience maximize this opportunity? And when does that mean taking the plunge into ownership, and where to lease on?
Or is freight waves wrong again, and it's best to stay put and keep getting a guaranteed paycheck?
Trucking Super Cycle Confirmed, According to the Pros.
Discussion in 'Questions From New Drivers' started by Mega Express, Jun 28, 2026.
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Well respected?
Not really.
There is no driver shortage; we still have overcapacity to the point that there isn't a move in rates as it should be.
The move to alleviate the alleged driver shortage is to use automated trucks, which eliminates 40% of the real problems with pis poor drivers and lowers overall costs by eliminating the high risk of bad drivers, not the wages.
But then we have FW positioning itself to be on both sides of the issue, whether automation is good or bad for the industry. This is why he is saying one thing one week and then another thing another week.
What many miss and it was miss by most here is the crying of FW back in Febuary with the claims that Dahlia's law will create a huge shortage of drivers and this went to the crux of the problems with FW and the industry itself, leading to the question - is the industry better off with it being a profession where only US citizens can earn a CDL or is it better to have any legal status person being handed a CDL and told GO GO GO?Lonesome, tscottme, brian991219 and 2 others Thank this. -
...hoard capital to the point you are semi-retired from investment income and are therefore somewhat insulated no matter what happens?
broke down plumber, tscottme, gentleroger and 2 others Thank this. -
Drive in Alaska. Join the Air Force become AFSC 1C1X1. Big money in that on the outside world.
broke down plumber and Mega Express Thank this. -
Well I would suggest that better off is all relative. Drivers both commercial and domestic would be far better off if the roads were safe. But big corporations want cheap freight, and if a few Americans need to die every month to keep rates marginally lower, then so be it. But are they actually better off in the long run since they still have to share the roads with the same animals they get to move their freight for free? All I know is I see those driverless trucks coming one way or another, and this could be the last chance for a driver to make some money. What do we do once the robots take all our jobs? It feels like something is going to break in the government or the economy or globally in a big way and shake things up in a way no one can predict. I blame Democrats, since they do everything wrong on purpose and have never had real jobs.broke down plumber and austinmike Thank this.
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Yeah exactly. Now I just have to figure out the best way to acquire it. America land of the free home of the paid, and being broke is now a crime.
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Oh man I can't see myself going back into the air Force at this point. Unless they would let me fly a fighter jet then I'd do it right now. I'll be honest I have zero desire to be an air traffic controller, I did look into that back in the day when I was getting in. They do make really nice money.broke down plumber and 77fib77 Thank this.
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Never a driver shortage. Driver retention shortage cause all the drivers get treated like ####
Bud A., broke down plumber, OldeSkool and 12 others Thank this. -
I'm just throwing you shade. Because it's fun.
I met an air traffic controller who worked for the coast guard naval air wing in or near nola. He said he would get in trouble a fair amount but they never did much to him since there is an acute shortage for competent air traffic controllers.
After drinking with him a bit in NOLA. He was a squirrel but a smart squirrel.
Freight boom. Yeah robot trucks are going to get a bigger push. Right? Your making money now?broke down plumber and Mega Express Thank this. -
Lol, rates didn’t rise because the economy is booming.
Capacity has shrunk exponentially..
Rates (spot market) have risen exponentially. lol, glad I’m not locked into contract freight.
Doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out what’s going on..just look at Florida outbound rates..holy moly!
Post #2 is poppycock
I’m not going to tell you what to do or give you any financial advice. If I was younger I’d be trading in my equipment for new.
“Truckload spot rates are soaring to historic highs, with national dry van rates recently reaching roughly $3.73 to $3.83 per mile. This explosive growth marks a massive inflection point; excluding fuel surcharges, spot rates are running over 50% higher year-over-year. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
This unprecedented surge is being driven by structural market shifts rather than just seasonal demand: [1, 2, 3]
- Capacity Reduction: A prolonged, multi-year freight slump forced many smaller carriers and under-quality operators to exit the industry. As a result, available truck supply is extremely tight.”
broke down plumber, Mega Express and bryan21384 Thank this.
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