Economic crash worse than in 2008?

Discussion in 'Ask An Owner Operator' started by DUNE-T, May 11, 2020.

  1. AModelCat

    AModelCat Road Train Member

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    I turned off my TV, radio and unfollowed pretty much everything on Facebook. As a result, I'm much happier. Its all doom and gloom everywhere you look these days. I ain't got time for that.
     
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  3. FoolsErrand

    FoolsErrand Road Train Member

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    People wait all year in eager anticipation of black friday sales. Yet abhor the idea of a market crash. Ironic.


    Screenshot_2020-05-12-09-21-10.png


    Theres a sale coming at the expense of those who dont know that it'll be their stuff for sale. Save up until P/E ratio breaks below 10. then start buying as the sky falls.
     
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  4. DUNE-T

    DUNE-T Road Train Member

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    Prices for cars and trucks have dropped already, a new Volvo 760 was $162k in 2018 and now you can get them for $135. New cars can be bought with 20% discount.
    People are not gonna go and buy everything what is stored on the parking lots once quarantine ends, because who the hell has money after sitting at home for 3 months and not working.
    Unemployment is already estimated at 55 million and many jobs are not coming back at all. Retail, tourist and entertainment industry are pretty much doomed. Imagine you have 30 trucks on payments and only 15 of them working, that's what entertainment industry is facing right now. They wouldn't be able to stay in business.
    It's like one big crazy snow ball. Economy shutting down for 3 months is definitely not going to go unnoticed.
     
    Last edited: May 15, 2020
    brgrcru, TokyoJoe, 201 and 3 others Thank this.
  5. Midwest Trucker

    Midwest Trucker Road Train Member

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    I guess I was talking about base price but I see what your saying. Basically lowering their profit on each unit to pretty much nothing in order to move them.

    I’d like to see the next 6 months be a rebuilding period followed by a very strong 2021. One can hope for the best and prepare for the worst I suppose.
     
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  6. BoostedTeg

    BoostedTeg Road Train Member

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    The price of the Volvo trucks being discounted just shows you how much profit margins they have in those units.
     
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  7. DUNE-T

    DUNE-T Road Train Member

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    I hope you are right, but here is my pessimistic scenario. Country opens up, feds keep injecting money, things seem to be stabilizing, then after the election is over, we get the 2nd wave of Covid, the housing market bursts, the stock market bursts and we get crappy 2021 and only in the Spring of 2022 things start getting better.
    That's my prediction for the whole economy though, trucking might be doing just alright if enough capacity goes away by the end of this year
     
  8. FoolsErrand

    FoolsErrand Road Train Member

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    A whole lot of people thought 2006 was the crash, in 2006. The all clear was being sounded in 2007 since home sales ticked up and prices rose briefly. Its when i bought mine, nov 07. And it was unanimously agreed that timing was great.

    Hindsight is 20/20 though as the real crash waa still ahead of me. Things didnt get better until 09.

    That said, keep in mind the bottom of this one may not come until 2022. No one knows.
     
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  9. 201

    201 Road Train Member

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    There's more. The Denver mayor predicted a $266 MILLION dollar shortfall( mostly from lack of sales tax) and are furloughing govt. workers. That's serious in an overworked system as it is. I think the poor standing around fire barrels will be talking about this for a long time. I'm thinking maybe, the fun gonna stop here,,,
     
    TokyoJoe Thanks this.
  10. FoolsErrand

    FoolsErrand Road Train Member

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    Not trimming the welfare roll. Just adding to it.

    Lenin grins from his grave.
     
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