Historic Outbreak Tornadoes and Derechios .... 5/20 to 5/23

The National Storm Prediction Center are beginning to use words reserved for end of the world scenario.

NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center

An outbreak of tornadoes, some potentially long-track and violent, is expected today into this evening over portions of northwest Texas into western and central Oklahoma. More-isolated but still potentially dangerous severe weather, including tornadoes, is possible in surrounding parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Arkansas.

For additional details, see the current Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO).

Storm Prediction Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0154 AM CDT Mon May 20 2019

Valid 211200Z - 221200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO
AND FAR WEST TEXAS...

...Synopsis...
As one upper-level shortwave trough ejects into the Plains, another
will begin to move into the Southwest. A ribbon of strong mid-level
flow will remain across the Southwest into the southern Plains on
D2/Tuesday. A still-strengthening lee cyclone in eastern Colorado
will continue to foster a strong surface pressure gradient. These
two features will combine to bring 20-30 mph, with locally higher
speeds, to portions of southern New Mexico and the southern High
Plains. While temperatures are expected to be somewhat cooler,
downslope flow will still help to lower afternoon RH into the 5-20%
range. Elevated fire weather concerns will exist from far southeast
Arizona into portions of central/southern New Mexico and the Trans
Pecos. Areas of the Texas Panhandle will likely see strong westerly
winds and dry conditions, but fuel states and copious precipitation
on D1/Monday will limit any threat. Fuels will continue to be more
receptive in southwest New Mexico into far West Texas. Here,
critical fire weather concerns will exist for a second straight day.
Some consideration was given to expanding the critical area, but
latest SWCC fuel guidance still shows marginally receptive fuels
elsewhere. Given the dry/windy conditions expected on D1/Monday,
expansion could occur in future outlooks should fuels become more
receptive.

..Wendt.. 05/20/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

End information situation for this hour. I would probably be able to update later tonight.

The Satellite weather people are going crazy and probably reserved the lather and panting behaviors designed to cause people to see about buying a nuclear missile Silo for underground survival for these things.

If you are going into Rio Grande-Yuma NM-Denver-Kansas City-east of OKC- Eastern texas. you might as well get your driving done today before around 2PM and find a good spot where you can follow the weather near strong buildings where you might find a hotel basement etc. (One time we hid in a trench at the TA near Seville OH which was a very violent night, one of my personal records actually.)

We expect it tonight sometime in the night. The Local media are going CRAZY over this. I wonder if this the deep south version in which you buy gallons of strong drink and party into the night regardless of the storm outside.

 

Tinker is AWACS Nation, I think there is about 30 of them, with a few serving duty stations around the world. You also have your Nighwatch Doomsday Planes capable of pulling the trigger on the Land Based silos and have the Boomers at sea come up to launch depth and shoot. Im pretty sure Tinker will be happy to scatter them if they have not already.

National Storm prediction Center is using PDS "Particularly dangerous Situation" for the second time this year, centered on OKC.

First two tornado warnings are for Texas and western OK.

Specifically Childress from the SW and closing. I think it will arrive in Childress TX 40 minutes from now that's about 3:30 PM

Tornado Two is 4 Miles SSW of Strong OK, just above I-40 as the crow flies NE of Shamrock Texas at the border.

I am not anywhere near that outbreak and I have a touch of fear with some of the developing in your face weather problems from Norman's OK Storm Predicition Center.

Storm Prediction Center PDS Tornado Watch 199

PDS Watch/Warning zone for Texas North hat, they have pretty much started to do the convoy so one passed over, then another one then another and another.

Storm Prediction Center PDS Tornado Watch 197

I will come and go as today progresses, it's really difficult to gather all the information in a timely manner.

I for one am happy that Mother Nature finally let the children to play, romp and in general get it out of their systems.

 

Oklahoma radar shows 5 Tornadoes, these are apparently short changing and recycling like a engine gone cold and refusing to accept a restart.

Once that Dry Line begins to advance East All bets must be off at that point. If you aint found a hole then I think you need to find one pronto.

National Weather Service radar from Oklahoma City, OK (Norman)