So many idiots in this world.... I knew many people were dumb but not this ####### dumb to think this virus is just another flu. If you cant tell .... yeah I am irritated.
Lets looks at the facts. As of today 3-23-2020 we have a total of 16,113 deaths and 100,879 recovered world wide from the virus.
Now can you muppets agree if you get infected with corona virus you will either one of two things?
1. you will recover and survive
2. you will die
These are the only 2 final outcomes.
Now lets do some basic math that most of you never paid attention to in school.
If we add the 16,113 deaths and 100,879 recovered we get a total of 116,992 cases that have gone through the infection and either 1. recovered or 2. died.
Now lets figure out the death percentage rate .... if we take the total 116,992 and minus 13.8% we come up with 16,144. This is roughly equal to the deaths of 16,113. This means of all the people thus far who got infected with the virus and completed a full infection from start to finish roughly 13.8% have died.
Now I know some of you muppets will say "but but but why are you not counting the 367,457 total confirmed cases?"
They are not counted because that is a cumulative running count of grand total world wide infections. Most of them are still pending active meaning we don't know their outcome yet if they will survive or die. There for we only count the amount of people who have survived and the amount of people who have died to figure out the death rate percentage.
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If Johns Hopkins university have trustworthy statistics then everything above the line is facts. The numbers don't lie.
Now for some assumptions or educated extrapolations.
Some experts are saying as much as 60-80% of the worlds population will be infected at some point with the corona virus.
If countries do not take the same drastic actions as China. Assuming this virus continues to spread and we do not slow down the infection rate and we do not get a vaccine or some other drug treatment to increase the survival rate. What this means is that with 7 billion people on the planet we are talking about a virus that if its current death rate continues at 13.8% and infects 60% of the people in the world then we could be in the ball park of 579,000,000 deaths.
7 billion people minus 40% uninfected leaves us with 4,200,000,000 infected
4,200,000,000 minus 13.8% = 579,600,000 million deaths.
The media is not over reacting with paranoia and hysteria. Show me a flu that has a 13.8% death rate.
I challenge anyone to check my math for errors or I am using a flawed logic. If I am wrong I want you to correct me and explain in detail why, I want to know about it.
So many morons out there think Corona is just another flu!
Discussion in 'Questions From New Drivers' started by Moneyhungrytrucker, Mar 23, 2020.
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just some other statistics from current stats
Mortality Rates
4% world
1.3% US
4% China
7.8% Iran
9.5% Italy
And Italy supposedly has a better healthcare system than ours.Last edited: Mar 23, 2020
truckdriver31 Thanks this. -
It's good to be aware and take precautions. I don't mind the shutting down of services to buy some time and prevent the spread of it.
I just don't think people need to hoard up a bunch of stuff. Unless they think they can survive on bottled water and toilet paper alone. Well, good riddance to them anyway.
Whatever it is going to be, me flapping my arms around won't change it.Flat Earth Trucker, truckdriver31, Bakerman and 1 other person Thank this. -
Sirscrapntruckalot, truckdriver31 and skellr Thank this.
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You ain't wrong. Numbers are wacky but you are on the right track. Here's the most relevant questions: How do you go into truck stop restrooms and showers without getting sick eventually (and soon)? If you get sick while you are in your truck, how are you going to get to the hospital (assuming they have a bed) and what happens to your truck? How long will you be away from your truck? Are you on a lease purchase or have a finance payment on your truck? What happens to that?
truckdriver31 Thanks this. -
Your entire premise is flawed. There is no way to determine fatality rate without an accurate number of exposures. The swab tests only pick up active infections. They will give a false negative for someone who has been exposed, was either symptomatic or asymptomatic, and has flushed the virus from their system. This will only be picked up through serological tests. These are not widespread. With no way to establish the denominator reliably, you cannot calculate a death rate.
slim6596, ShortBusKid, nredfor88 and 5 others Thank this. -
well honestly, you should be able to stay healthy and not catch it if you exercise some common sense. Like washing your hands often. Not touching things you don't need to touch. Disinfect your hands after touching surfaces. Don't get too close to people that may or may not be contagious. Even using food service gloves while pumping gas or other activities works out fine. They are just as effective as surgical gloves.
truckdriver31 Thanks this. -
The reason why the coronavirus is looking more deadly than the swine flu is because the swine flu a lot less old people got it.
truckdriver31 Thanks this. -
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