Why now is not the time

Discussion in 'Ask An Owner Operator' started by Dino soar, Dec 9, 2020.

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  1. Dino soar

    Dino soar Road Train Member

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    It's the question that all prospective owner-operators ask, or at least they should be asking

    What is the right time to get in?

    It is not right now, that I can tell you.

    One of the customers that I run loads for, the account manager and I had a nice discussion the other night.

    He said that even the largest of suppliers that he deals with anyway, are working everything like the spot Market.

    Now I'm not an expert at all in how all of this works with Brokers and shippers, but he was saying that the rates are higher right now because there's so much uncertainty with Coronavirus.

    And the reason why that is, is because no one knows what's going to happen. He said it's possible after the vaccine comes out that the rates may drastically drop.

    So the loads that I run for them he said that rate could drop 50%. Now if it dropped 50% I probably wouldn't be interested in running it, but if I had to I could because everything is paid for. But to me that's a small amount of money for a lot of work.

    Also, if there is a new Administration you have no idea what's going to happen. You have no idea what their effect on the economy is going to be you have no idea what their policies are going to be, you have no idea what they will do and how that will affect Freight.

    So then the age-old question is, when is the right time?

    The answer to that is in the middle of an Administration. When things either have been on the decline and improving, or if things are at least steady and you saved plenty of money in case they decline.

    Trying to get in now is kind of like a pyramid scheme that you're on the bottom part of it, or a hot crap game that you're walking in on right before it cools off.

    Everywhere that I travel I see trucks overflowing out of rest areas and truck stops.

    If everything goes on a steep decline you're going to see auctions and dealerships overflowing with trucks.

    Be smart and don't let that be you.

    Just a little friendly advice.
     
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  3. DaytonTD

    DaytonTD Light Load Member

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    I wouldn't listen to one guy pulling guesses out of his ###. If you base it on history over one person's guess, there will most likely be a boom in the coming years just as there was with the Spanish flu.
     
  4. Scooter Jones

    Scooter Jones Road Train Member

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    We could all just go to work for Amazon or Walmart if everything gets really bad.
     
  5. xsetra

    xsetra Road Train Member

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    Anytime is a good time to start.

    Same preparations are needed, whenever a person starts.

    Sink or swim. Some of the best prepared people fail.
    Some have succeeded starting with all funds borrowed.

    Throw in a bit of good luck, voila, success. A touch of the bad luck, it's a harder struggle.
     
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  6. rbrtwbstr

    rbrtwbstr Road Train Member

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    I'd wait until a good year into the new administration if I were looking to buy a truck. I think the economy is gonna correct itself in '21, used trucks will be cheap in late '21 and '22.

    Just look at the stock market. High as ever right now. It won't continue forever.
     
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  7. Derailed

    Derailed Road Train Member

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    A little news flash. As far as the trucking industry is concerned, your in one. Hope your taking advantage of it.
     
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  8. 201

    201 Road Train Member

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    I didn't listen when people told me I was nuts, and that was in 1988. You know what? They were right,,,
     
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  9. Judge

    Judge Road Train Member

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    First.
    An Owner Operator, not a lease operator is an entrepreneur.
    The quick definition given by Mr. Dictionary is...
    noun
    a person who organizes and operates a business or businesses, taking on greater than normal financial risks in order to do so.
    Many entrepreneurs see potential in this market, not all are cut out for it, as some aren’t cut out for working Micky Ds, “You want fries with that?” For the rest of their life.
    Others cut chickens at chicken processing plants.

    Just because your an owner operator doesn’t mean you have a truck and trailer only, you can expand with franchises.

    Another definition.
    “An owner-operator is a small business or microbusiness owner who also runs the day-to-day operations of the company. Owner-operators are found in many business models and franchising companies in many different industries like restaurant chains, health care, logistics, maintenance, repair, and operations.”

    Ask yourself these questions listed below, if you can’t do any, then you’re wasting your time as an Owner Operator and a
    should stay driving for someone else.

    Top 10 Tips for New Owner-Operators
     
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  10. D.Tibbitt

    D.Tibbitt Road Train Member

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    I started a lease purchase deal in november 2019 with a flatbed, at a mostly step deck company..... Novmeber is like the worst time to start flatbed and we all knew where the rates are at at the end of 2019, with a pandemic looming 4 months around the corner that nobody knew about..... Ok it was a tough year . But we kept grinding and building relationships and made the best of it . im focused on beating my numbers by alot in 2021. This business is what u make of it... best of luck .
     
  11. DUNE-T

    DUNE-T Road Train Member

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    The most successful people I met in trucking, started in 2008-2010, when a lot of people left the business. They made it through the slow times and when the market turned, they were in a good position to take advantage of the rates and build their fleets.
    Opening a business, is like having a child, you can't never be fully prepared.
     
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